Match Info

LPB - Round 12

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira (Esgueira)


	Esgueira		Ovarense

	1	2
	2.55	1.4	Watch
	2.54	1.41
	2.32	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.59	1.44
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.34)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esgueira
36.3%

Ovarense
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ovarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esgueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ovarense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Esgueira - Ovarense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Esgueira will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Ovarense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Esgueira will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Barnstable D.	15. Finke T.
7. Bilamu N.	5. Heath J.
10. Ferreira H.	2. Jenkins J.
20. Garita E.	12. Silva J.
3. Porter M.	20. Teixeira G.
Substitutes
12. Andrade T. (C)	10. Monteiro M.
34. Antonio Y.	9. Morais N. (C)
6. Martins J.	3. Pavicevic I.
17. Neto F.	13. Soeiro R.
23. Oliveira M.	24. Sona R.
97. Sousa A.	33. Vuaka I.
	0. Woods A.
Coaches
. Silva S.	. Silva J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 0.

Recent form of Esgueira has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ovarense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ovarense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1524:1710. (average 76.2:85.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Esgueira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 871:990. (average 79.2:90).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Ovarense	1	1	0	96:83	2
12	Esgueira	1	0	1	64:84	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.26	Esgueira - Porto	78:100 ✺
Portuguese LPB
10.01.26	Esgueira - Porto	76:67 ✺
03.01.26	Benfica - Esgueira	81:72 ✺
28.12.25	Esgueira - Vitória de Guimarães	91:103 ✺
20.12.25	Imortal - Esgueira	102:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLLL
- Ovarense Basquetebol
Taca de Portugal Basketball
17.01.26	Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon	70:85 ✺
Portuguese LPB
11.01.26	Braga - Ovarense	74:86 ✺
06.01.26	Porto - Ovarense	74:62 ✺
03.01.26	Ovarense - Galitos Barreiro	88:64 ✺
27.12.25	CAQ Queluz - Ovarense	82:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.10.25	Esgueira - Ovarense	81:102
Portuguese LPB
04.10.25	Ovarense - Esgueira	81:75
26.04.25	Esgueira - Ovarense	84:85
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.03.25	Ovarense - Esgueira	94:68
Taca de Portugal Basketball
19.01.25	Esgueira - Ovarense	81:92
Portuguese LPB
04.01.25	Ovarense - Esgueira	81:89 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.24	Esgueira - Ovarense	80:87

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