Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - Round 17

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão do Caniço (Caniço)


	Galomar		Povoa

	1	2
	1.44	2.54
	1.43	2.55
	1.38	2.5
	1.51	2.44
	1.5	2.5
	1.46	2.59
	1.43	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.64)	2.52 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galomar
63.5%

Povoa
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galomar's performance.

Povoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Povoa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galomar than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galomar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Povoa than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Povoa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Galomar - Povoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Davis S.	10. Loncovic M.
27. Drumwright M.	1. McCloud J.
14. Durr M.	0. Ona Embo R.
12. Kennedy J.	33. Robinson S.
22. Sa N.	2. Suggs S.
Substitutes
8. Carreiras J.	95. Barbosa N.
13. Gallina J.	29. Faria G.
6. Macachi B.	4. Gomes K.
21. Oliveira P. (C)	91. Okemirie J.
	5. Rodrigues J.
	23. Rodrigues M. (C)
Coaches
. Manarte N.	. Rodrigues J.

Preview

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Povoa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Galomar have a series of guest games.

Galomar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Galomar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 424:395 (average 84.8:79).

Including matches at home between the teams Galomar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 273:240 (average 91:80).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Galomar
Portuguese LPB
08.03.25	Imortal - Galomar	94:81 ✺
15.02.25	Galomar - Galitos Barreiro	66:78 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
09.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Galomar	89:69 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
02.02.25	Oliveirense - Galomar	89:61 ✺
Portuguese LPB
31.01.25	Oliveirense - Galomar	82:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Povoa Basketball
Portuguese LPB
08.03.25	Povoa - Galitos Barreiro	74:80 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.03.25	Povoa - Galitos Barreiro	70:75 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.02.25	Ovarense - Povoa	83:71 ✺
02.02.25	Povoa - CAQ Queluz	98:102 ✺
25.01.25	Esgueira - Povoa	93:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
16.11.24	Povoa - Galomar	81:72
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
04.02.24	Galomar - Povoa	107:81
Portuguese LPB
03.02.24	Galomar - Povoa	81:88
07.10.23	Povoa - Galomar	74:79
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
29.05.21	Galomar - Povoa	85:71

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