Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - Round 16

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Clube Desportivo Póvoa (Póvoa de Varzim)


	Povoa		Galitos Barreiro

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	1.9	1.76	Watch
	1.9	1.76
	1.89	1.84
	1.91	1.8
	1.94	1.78
	1.9	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.27)	1.75 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Povoa
47.2%

Galitos Barreiro
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Povoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Povoa's performance.

Galitos Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galitos Barreiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Povoa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galitos Barreiro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Povoa - Galitos Barreiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Povoa will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Galitos will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Povoa: 72.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Loncovic M.	22. Bryan Jr L.
1. McCloud J.	4. Correia M.
0. Ona Embo R.	7. McCadden E.
33. Robinson S.	1. Robinson III R.
2. Suggs S.	2. Stein R.
Substitutes
95. Barbosa N.	14. Carvalho G.
29. Faria G.	10. Guerreiro R. (C)
4. Gomes K.	88. Machado D.
28. Nunes G.	3. Mestre
91. Okemirie J.	5. Palhares R.
5. Rodrigues J.
23. Rodrigues M. (C)
Coaches
. Rodrigues J.	. Henrique P.

Preview

Povoa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Galitos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galitos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Povoa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 224:212 (average 74.7:70.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Povoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 147:137 (average 73.5:68.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Povoa Basketball
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.03.25	Povoa - Galitos Barreiro	70:75 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.02.25	Ovarense - Povoa	83:71 ✺
02.02.25	Povoa - CAQ Queluz	98:102 ✺
25.01.25	Esgueira - Povoa	93:80 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
19.01.25	Porto - Povoa	82:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Galitos Barreiro
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.03.25	Povoa - Galitos Barreiro	70:75 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.02.25	Galomar - Galitos Barreiro	66:78 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
09.02.25	Galitos Barreiro - Oliveirense	71:79 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
05.02.25	Galitos Barreiro - Benfica	90:96 ✺
Portuguese LPB
02.02.25	Galitos Barreiro - Ovarense	82:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.03.25	Povoa - Galitos Barreiro	70:75
Portuguese LPB
09.11.24	Galitos Barreiro - Povoa	75:77
Taca de Portugal Basketball
11.12.22	Povoa - Galitos Barreiro	77:62

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