Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 18

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Pavello Fontajau (Girona)


	Girona		Palencia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	3
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.4	3.2
	1.38	3.2
	1.36	3.25
	1.4	2.98	Watch
	1.36	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
69.3%

Palencia
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Girona - Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro).

Girona has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Palencia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Girona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 242-210.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 89-72.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bàsquet Girona
Spanish ACB League
06.01.24	Basket Zaragoza - Girona	81:74 ✺
30.12.23	Girona - Baskonia	85:93 ✺
22.12.23	Bilbao Basket - Girona	80:74 ✺
17.12.23	Girona - Joventut Badalona	67:82 ✺
09.12.23	Basquet Manresa - Girona	101:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish ACB League
06.01.24	Palencia - Unicaja Malaga	72:86 ✺
30.12.23	Palencia - Bilbao Basket	78:72 ✺
17.12.23	Palencia - Basket Zaragoza	80:88 ✺
12.12.23	Baskonia - Palencia	94:82 ✺
09.12.23	Granada - Palencia	109:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
04.11.23	Palencia - Girona	76:80
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
10.04.22	Girona - Palencia	89:72
10.12.21	Palencia - Girona	62:73

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