Match Info
ACB - Round 27Date: 19 April 2026, SundayLocation: Pavello Fontajau (Girona)Referee: Chueca A. (Esp)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | DAZN |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 France | DAZN France |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
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Girona |
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Valencia |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 182.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Girona
26.1% | Valencia
73.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Girona - Valencia Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:95 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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4.  Busquets J.
| 0.  Badio B.
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12.  Geben M.
| 24.  Costello M.
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11.  Livingston O.
| 10. Moore O.
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5.  Needham D.
| 12.  Sako N.
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29. Susinskas M.
| 13.  Thompson D.
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| Substitutes |
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20. Brunot K.
| 5. De Larrea S.
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9. Ferrando G.
| 8.  Montero J.
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6.  Hildreth C.
| 32. Nogues Gonzalez I.
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8. Hughes M.
| 2. Puerto J.
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23. Martinez S.
| 3.  Reuvers N.
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17. Sanmartin E.
| 77. Sima Y.
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10.  Vildoza J.
| 1. Taylor K.
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| Coaches |
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. Fernandez M.
| . Martinez Sanchez P.
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Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2.Girona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Valencia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Valencia is a strong favorite. We predict that Valencia will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 560:643. (average 80:91.9).Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 252:258. (average 84:86).
Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now
Valencia: 12.97%
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 8 | Valencia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 197:187 | 2 |
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| 15 | Basquet Girona | 3 | 1 | 2 | 254:310 | 2 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Valencia - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 70.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish ACB League | | | 23.11.25 | Valencia - Girona | 98:72 | | 17.05.25 | Girona - Valencia | 85:91 | | 07.12.24 | Valencia - Girona | 98:78 | | 17.03.24 | Girona - Valencia | 92:88 | | 23.09.23 | Valencia - Girona | 85:89 | | 12.03.23 | Girona - Valencia | 75:79 | | 11.12.22 | Valencia - Girona | 104:69 |
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