Match Info

Euroleague - Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Roig Arena (Valencia)

Referee: Nedovic M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Valencia		Panathinaikos

	1	2
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.18	Watch
	1.65	2.33
	1.68	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.67	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)	2.26 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
57.7%

Panathinaikos
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panathinaikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.9%	0%	37.1%

Valencia - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Valencia (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valencia will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 8 - 80%). Panathinaikos (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Badio B.	35. Faried K.
24. Costello M.	11. Hayes N.
8. Montero J.	25. Nunn K.
12. Sako N.	6. Osman C.
1. Taylor K.	0. Shorts T.
Substitutes
5. De Larrea S.	22. Grant J.
7. Key B.	40. Grigonis M.
10. Moore O.	41. Hernangomez J.
32. Nogues Gonzalez I.	26. Lessort M.
4. Pradilla J.	44. Mitoglou K.
3. Reuvers N.	17. Rogkavopoulos N.
13. Thompson D.	27. Toliopoulos V.
Coaches
. Martinez Sanchez P.	. Ataman E.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

Valencia is Qualified for Euroleague (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Valencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1347:1355. (average 84.2:84.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 705:665. (average 88.1:83.1).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Panathinaikos: 21.78% Valencia: 3.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
1	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	375:292
2	Valencia	4	4	0	405:356

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.32%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
10.05.26	Valencia - Baskonia	86:88 ✺
Euroleague
08.05.26	Panathinaikos - Valencia	86:89 ✺
06.05.26	Panathinaikos - Valencia	87:91 ✺
Spanish ACB League
03.05.26	Basquet Manresa - Valencia	104:102 ✺
Euroleague
30.04.26	Valencia - Panathinaikos	105:107 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWLL
- Panathinaikos BC
Euroleague
08.05.26	Panathinaikos - Valencia	86:89 ✺
06.05.26	Panathinaikos - Valencia	87:91 ✺
30.04.26	Valencia - Panathinaikos	105:107 OT ✺
28.04.26	Valencia - Panathinaikos	67:68 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
25.04.26	Panathinaikos - Mykonos	97:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
08.05.26	Panathinaikos - Valencia	86:89
06.05.26	Panathinaikos - Valencia	87:91
30.04.26	Valencia - Panathinaikos	105:107 OT
28.04.26	Valencia - Panathinaikos	67:68
09.04.26	Valencia - Panathinaikos	102:84
05.12.25	Panathinaikos - Valencia	79:89
05.01.24	Valencia - Panathinaikos	81:82

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