Match Info
NBADate: 20 January 2026, TuesdayLocation: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | Veikkaus TV |
World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Golden State Warriors |
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Toronto Raptors |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 224.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Golden State Warriors 60.9% | Toronto Raptors 39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Golden State Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Golden State Warriors's form might have worsened.Toronto Raptors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto Raptors's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Golden State Warriors than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Raptors than the current prediction. (-2%) bannerPredictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Golden State will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Golden State: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3, OT - Golden State (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Half - Golden State (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Golden State Warriors will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Golden State (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 114:110 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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4. Moody M.
| 1. Dick G.
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23. Green D.
| 3. Ingram B.
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21. Post Q.
| 4. Barnes S.
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2. Podziemski B.
| 5. Quickley I.
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30. Curry S.
| 23. Shead J.
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| Coaches |
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. Kerr S.
| . Rajakovic D.
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Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 2.Golden State is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Golden State has had a series of home games. Golden State will hold a modest advantage in this match.There will not play in Golden State: Curry S.
(Thigh Injury)
Green D.
(Ankle Injury)
Melton D.
(Knee Injury)
Santos G.
(Ankle Injury)There will not play in Toronto: Barrett R.
(Ankle Injury)
Poeltl J.
(Lower Back Injury)
Walter J.
(Hip Injury)There are questionable in Toronto: Battle J.
(Ankle Injury)We predict that Golden State will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2110:2194. (average 105.5:109.7).Including home matches between the teams, Golden State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1103:1120. (average 110.3:112).
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Last Results with these Odds
Golden State Warriors - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.78%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
Toronto Raptors - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 32.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 28.12.25 | Toronto Raptors - Golden State Warriors | 141:127 OT | | NBA Las Vegas Summer League | | | 17.07.25 | Toronto Raptors - Golden State Warriors | 81:69 | | NBA | | | 20.03.25 | Golden State Warriors - Toronto Raptors | 117:114 | | 13.01.25 | Toronto Raptors - Golden State Warriors | 104:101 | | 01.03.24 | Toronto Raptors - Golden State Warriors | 105:120 | | 07.01.24 | Golden State Warriors - Toronto Raptors | 118:133 | | NBA Las Vegas Summer League | | | 15.07.23 | Toronto Raptors - Golden State Warriors | 108:101 |
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