Match Info

ACB - Round 17

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Gran Canaria Arena (Las Palmas)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	DAZN 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Gran Canaria 2014		Valencia

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.05	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.99	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.4)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Canaria 2014
31.5%

Valencia
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Canaria 2014 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gran Canaria 2014's form might have worsened.

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valencia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Canaria 2014 than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gran Canaria 2014, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gran Canaria will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Valencia will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gran Canaria 2014 will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Albicy A.	0. Badio B.
9. Brussino N.	4. Pradilla J.
13. Pelos P.	3. Reuvers N.
30. Robertson K.	1. Taylor K.
18. Tobey M.	13. Thompson D.
Substitutes
12. Alocen C.	24. Costello M.
23. Kuath K.	5. De Larrea S.
21. Labeyrie L.	6. Lopez-Arostegui X.
10. Salvo M.	8. Montero J.
5. Samar Z.	10. Moore O.
4. Vila Martinez E.	12. Sako N.
2. Wong I.	77. Sima Y.
Coaches
. Lakovic J.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Canaria won 2.

Gran Canaria is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Valencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valencia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gran Canaria won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1677:1734. (average 83.9:86.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gran Canaria won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 965:943. (average 87.7:85.7).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Valencia: 12.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Valencia	2	1	1	197:187	2

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.54%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Canaria 2014
Champions League Basketball
20.01.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Trieste	71:77 ✺
Spanish ACB League
17.01.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Força Lleida CE	50:68 ✺
10.01.26	Basket Zaragoza - Gran Canaria 2014	95:84 ✺
03.01.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - UCAM Murcia	77:72 ✺
30.12.25	San Pablo Burgos - Gran Canaria 2014	94:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Valencia BC
Euroleague
22.01.26	Bayern München - Valencia	97:89 ✺
20.01.26	Valencia - Paris	98:84 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	94:79 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Valencia	82:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.01.26	Valencia - Basket Zaragoza	115:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
04.06.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia	94:102 OT
02.06.25	Valencia - Gran Canaria 2014	98:74
10.05.25	Valencia - Gran Canaria 2014	86:79
Spanish Basketball Cup
14.02.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia	79:65
Spanish ACB League
27.12.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia	97:94
31.03.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia	79:71
Spanish Basketball Cup
15.02.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia	81:89 OT

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