Match Info

Euroleague - Round 31

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Kowalski M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	5 PLUS Israel, Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Valencia

	1	2
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.15
	1.4	3.07
	1.41	2.92	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.46	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 (1.39)	3.03 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
68.7%

Valencia
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Real Madrid - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 174.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Abalde A.	0. Badio B.
7. Campazzo F.	7. Key B.
11. Hezonja M.	2. Puerto J.
8. Okeke C.	3. Reuvers N.
22. Tavares E.	13. Thompson D.
Substitutes
14. Deck G.	24. Costello M.
24. Feliz A.	5. De Larrea S.
16. Garuba U.	6. Lopez-Arostegui X.
25. Len A.	8. Montero J.
23. Llull S.	10. Moore O.
0. Lyles T.	4. Pradilla J.
12. Maledon T.	12. Sako N.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Valencia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Madrid is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1779:1668. (average 89:83.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1102:1005. (average 91.8:83.8).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19% Valencia: 3.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
2	Valencia	4	4	0	405:356
15	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 69.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
08.03.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Real Madrid	80:82 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.26	Real Madrid - Virtus Bologna	92:84 ✺
26.02.26	Real Madrid - Bayern München	93:70 ✺
Spanish Basketball Cup
22.02.26	Real Madrid - Baskonia	89:100 ✺
21.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	106:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
08.03.26	Valencia - UCAM Murcia	110:84 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.26	Valencia - Žalgiris Kaunas	91:87 ✺
26.02.26	Baskonia - Valencia	79:108 ✺
Spanish Basketball Cup
21.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	106:108 ✺
19.02.26	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	95:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Basketball Cup
21.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	106:108
Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	94:79
Euroleague
11.11.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	89:76
Spanish Supercopa ACB
28.09.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	94:98
Spanish ACB League
25.06.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	70:81
22.06.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	102:96 OT
20.06.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	89:75

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