Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: HS Orku-hollin (Grindavík)


	Grindavík		Tindastóll

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.84
	1.84	1.78
	1.9	1.9
	1.79	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)	1.83 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grindavík
50%

Tindastóll
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grindavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tindastóll has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grindavík than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tindastóll than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Grindavík - Tindastóll Predictions

Users Predictions: Grindavík will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grindavík will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Gylfason K.	21. Agustsson J.
7. Kane D.	5. Badmus T.
14. Olafsson O. (C)	1. Basile D.
2. Pargo J.	15. Drungilas A.
45. Semple J.	11. Geks D.
Substitutes
77. Atlason P.	34. Agustsson R.
12. Bragason R.	12. Agustsson V.
24. Helgason A.	8. Arnarsson V.
10. Karason U.	7. Birgisson P. (C)
15. Nokkvason N.	6. Bjornsson S.
21. Valsson V.	10. Dolenc D.
	35. Masson H.
Coaches
. Olafsson J.	. Gudjonsson A.

Preview

Grindavik leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grindavík won 3.

Grindavík is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tindastóll's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grindavík won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1797:1790. (average 89.9:89.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Grindavík won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 938:897. (average 93.8:89.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Tindastoll	1	1	0	85:77	2
9	Grindavik	1	0	1	80:91	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grindavík Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
12.05.26	Tindastóll - Grindavík	83:86 ✺
09.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	85:80 ✺
06.05.26	Grindavík - Valur	109:82 ✺
04.05.26	Valur - Grindavík	85:79 ✺
30.04.26	Grindavík - Valur	93:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW
- UMF Tindastóll Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
12.05.26	Tindastóll - Grindavík	83:86 ✺
09.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	85:80 ✺
06.05.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	100:91 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Tindastóll	97:103 ✺
29.04.26	Tindastóll - Stjarnan	103:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
12.05.26	Tindastóll - Grindavík	83:86
09.05.26	Grindavík - Tindastóll	85:80
07.03.26	Tindastóll - Grindavík	92:87
20.11.25	Grindavík - Tindastóll	91:75
23.01.25	Tindastóll - Grindavík	97:79
25.10.24	Grindavík - Tindastóll	90:93
19.04.24	Grindavík - Tindastóll	91:89

Grindavík - Tindastóll: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide