Match Info

CBA - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Dongguan Basketball Center (Dongguan)


	Guangdong Southern Tigers		Guangzhou Long-Lions

	1	2
	1.18	4.4	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.17	4.4
	1.19	4.32	Watch
	1.22	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.16)	4.24 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Southern Tigers
78%

Guangzhou Long-Lions
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Southern Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Guangzhou Long-Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Du Runwang	8. Holiday J.
22. McCall T.	28. Wigginton L.
10. Queen T.	19. Xin Dayi X.
28. Wang S.	11. Yancheng L.
2. Xu Jie	5. Zhaoyao Y.
Substitutes
24. Choi Young-Hee	6. Burton D.
3. Hu Mingxuan	23. Guohao C.
16. Jiao Boqiao	12. Li Xiangbo
31. Rakocevic N.	1. Sykes K.
0. Sullinger J.	7. Weiyun S.
25. Zhang Haojia	21. Wenjie Zhang
14. Zhang W.	2. Xingliang Z.
Coaches
. Feng Du	. Mitchell N.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 4.

Guangdong has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guangzhou has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Guangdong is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2092:1855. (average 104.6:92.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangdong won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 969:858. (average 107.7:95.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Southern Tigers Basketball
CBA
01.05.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	64:85 ✺
28.04.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	76:93 ✺
24.04.26	Fujian Xunxing - Guangdong Southern Tigers	93:91 ✺
20.04.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangdong Southern Tigers	106:96 ✺
18.04.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Fujian Xunxing	83:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL
- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
01.05.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	64:85 ✺
28.04.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	76:93 ✺
24.04.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	86:99 ✺
20.04.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Fujian Xunxing	101:94 ✺
18.04.26	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	75:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
01.05.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	64:85
28.04.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	76:93
23.12.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	85:93
19.12.25	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:94
Chinese CBA Club Cup
05.12.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	80:94
CBA
24.01.25	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	111:82
16.01.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	77:85

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