Match Info

CBA

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Long-Lions		Nanjing Monkey King

	1	2
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.38	2.85	Watch
	1.44	2.7
	1.41	2.81	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	2.88 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Long-Lions
67.5%

Nanjing Monkey King
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nanjing Monkey King has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing Monkey King than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Guangzhou Long Lions - Nanjing Monkey King Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:90

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Lineups


13. Guo Ailun	10. Guo Haowen
23. Guohao C.	50. Hands J.
8. Holiday J.	3. Li Binzhuo
12. Li Xiangbo	24. Maitiabra A.
27. Lu Jiahui	45. Manek B.
4. Thomas E.	20. Ma Xinxin
28. Wigginton L.	25. Solomon R.
19. Xin Dayi X.	4. Wu Tingjia
2. Xingliang Z.	8. Xu Yuanzheng
11. Yancheng L.	66. Zhang Xinyu
3. Zhang Huafei	11. Zhao Baiqing
5. Zhaoyao Y.	7. Zhu Mingzhen

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 3.

In recent matches, Guangzhou has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nanjing Monkey King is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nanjing Monkey King may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guangzhou is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2186:2074. (average 109.3:103.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1116:1029. (average 111.6:102.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Nanjing Monkey King - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.03%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
19.01.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Beijing Royal Fighters	104:75 ✺
17.01.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Guangzhou Long-Lions	109:82 ✺
14.01.26	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Guangzhou Long-Lions	89:74 ✺
12.01.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Tianjin Ronggang	93:98 ✺
10.01.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Sichuan Blue Whales	106:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW
- Nanjing Monkey King
CBA
20.01.26	Fujian Xunxing - Nanjing Monkey King	105:91 ✺
18.01.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Nanjing Monkey King	102:94 ✺
16.01.26	Nanjing Monkey King - Shenzhen Leopards	115:86 ✺
13.01.26	Nanjing Monkey King - Guangdong Southern Tigers	71:87 ✺
11.01.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Nanjing Monkey King	89:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
21.12.24	Nanjing Monkey King - Guangzhou Long-Lions	112:109
25.10.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Nanjing Monkey King	110:122
06.04.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Nanjing Monkey King	109:87
17.12.23	Nanjing Monkey King - Guangzhou Long-Lions	112:115
20.03.23	Nanjing Monkey King - Guangzhou Long-Lions	95:101
06.03.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Nanjing Monkey King	113:100
06.11.21	Nanjing Monkey King - Guangzhou Long-Lions	101:115

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