Match Info

CBA

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Long-Lions		Tianjin Ronggang

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.35	2.99	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.4	2.85	Watch
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	2.66 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Long-Lions
64.6%

Tianjin Ronggang
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Long-Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Tianjin Ronggang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Long-Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Ronggang than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tianjin Ronggang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Guangzhou Long Lions - Tianjin Ronggang Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guangzhou will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tianjin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Tianjin (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, OT - Tianjin (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tianjin Ronggang will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tianjin (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:88

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Lineups


23. Guohao C.	29. Gao Shiao
8. Holiday J.	3. Gu Z.
12. Li Xiangbo	2. Hamlet J.
4. Thomas E.	15. Haoran Z.
7. Weiyun S.	77. He Siyu
28. Wigginton L.	31. James D. S.
19. Xin Dayi X.	5. Lai Junhao
2. Xingliang Z.	0. Lin Ting-Chien
11. Yancheng L.	7. Li Rongpei
29. Yingran W.	4. Reynolds J.
3. Zhang Huafei	16. Yu Tian
5. Zhaoyao Y.	13. Zhang Yunmeng
Coaches
. Mitchell N.	. Zhang D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 4.

Guangzhou is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tianjin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guangzhou might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Guangzhou will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2170:2019. (average 108.5:101).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 996:917. (average 110.7:101.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
10.01.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Sichuan Blue Whales	106:76 ✺
08.01.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	60:95 ✺
06.01.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	79:76 ✺
04.01.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Guangzhou Long-Lions	106:108 OT ✺
02.01.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	70:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW
- Tianjin Ronggang
CBA
10.01.26	Fujian Xunxing - Tianjin Ronggang	115:94 ✺
08.01.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Tianjin Ronggang	103:99 ✺
06.01.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Beijing Royal Fighters	110:103 ✺
04.01.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Guangzhou Long-Lions	106:108 OT ✺
01.01.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	68:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
04.01.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Guangzhou Long-Lions	106:108 OT
12.03.25	Tianjin Ronggang - Guangzhou Long-Lions	87:96
27.11.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Tianjin Ronggang	108:97
Chinese CBA Club Cup
17.11.24	Tianjin Ronggang - Guangzhou Long-Lions	69:89
Club Friendly Basketball
22.09.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Tianjin Ronggang	67:89
CBA
29.03.24	Tianjin Ronggang - Guangzhou Long-Lions	99:103
15.12.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Tianjin Ronggang	93:106

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