Match Info

CBA

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Long-Lions		Ningbo Rockets

	1	2
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.52	2.33
	1.52	2.42
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.45	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)	2.46 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Long-Lions
62.1%

Ningbo Rockets
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Long-Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Long-Lions's performance.

Ningbo Rockets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ningbo Rockets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Long-Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ningbo Rockets than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ningbo Rockets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangzhou Long Lions - Ningbo Rockets Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 178.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:82

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Lineups


6. Burton D.	4. An Li
23. Guohao C.	13. Bazley D.
8. Holiday J.	99. Fall T.
12. Li Xiangbo	5. Jackson F.
7. Weiyun S.	10. Liu Xiaoyu
21. Wenjie Zhang	16. Luo Kaiwen
28. Wigginton L.	11. Ning Hongyu
19. Xin Dayi X.	97. Rutubura
2. Xingliang Z.	3. Simpson Z.
11. Yancheng L.	1. Wang Fanyi
3. Zhang Huafei	6. Wang Junjie
5. Zhaoyao Y.	9. Xu Yuzhuo
Coaches
. Mitchell N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 4.

Guangzhou is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ningbo Rockets has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ningbo Rockets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ningbo Rockets has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1004:841. (average 100.4:84.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 495:400. (average 99:80).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
05.03.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	93:85 ✺
03.02.26	Qingdao DoubleStar - Guangzhou Long-Lions	88:81 ✺
31.01.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions	83:80 ✺
29.01.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Fujian Xunxing	85:92 ✺
27.01.26	Shanghai Sharks - Guangzhou Long-Lions	95:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLL
- Ningbo Rockets
CBA
03.02.26	Ningbo Rockets - Beijing Royal Fighters	79:75 ✺
01.02.26	Ningbo Rockets - Guangdong Southern Tigers	94:81 ✺
29.01.26	Ningbo Rockets - Liaoning Dinosaurs	75:62 ✺
27.01.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Ningbo Rockets	99:75 ✺
25.01.26	Ningbo Rockets - Jiangsu Dragons	84:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
30.12.24	Ningbo Rockets - Guangzhou Long-Lions	92:85
11.12.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Ningbo Rockets	106:89
29.01.24	Ningbo Rockets - Guangzhou Long-Lions	79:96
14.01.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Ningbo Rockets	92:77
06.12.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Ningbo Rockets	99:80
16.11.23	Ningbo Rockets - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:99
11.01.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Ningbo Rockets	105:84

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