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Current Win Probability
Gunma Crane Thunders 61.6%
Toyota Alvark 38.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.7%
47.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gunma Crane Thunders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gunma Crane Thunders's performance.
Toyota Alvark has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toyota Alvark might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gunma Crane Thunders than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gunma Crane Thunders that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toyota Alvark than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toyota Alvark could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gunma Crane Thunders - Toyota Alvark Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:75
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
8. Blackshear K.
9. Ando S. (C)
15. Edu A.
1. Hogg D. J.
14. Johnson S.
11. Johnson K.
4. Jones T.
75. Osakabe T.
6. Nakamura T.
22. Rossiter R.
Substitutes
16. Asano K.
10. Baranski Z.
1. Flippin K.
21. Hiraiwa G.
0. Fujii Y.
17. Iida R.
29. Hosokawa K.
77. Jarrow D.
55. Taniguchi D.
5. Nakamura H.
9. Tsuji N. (C)
2. Okura S.
28. Tsurumaki K.
Coaches
. Milling K.
. Richman R.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gunma won 4.
Gunma is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Alvark is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Alvark may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Gunma has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1220:1245 (averaging 76.3:77.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gunma against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 629:588 goals (averaging 78.6:73.5 per game).