Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 20

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Aqua Zdroj (Walbrzych)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Górnik Wałbrzych		Trefl Sopot

	1	2
	1.74	1.95
	1.65	2.03	Watch
	1.76	2.06
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.68	2.13
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)	2.03 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Wałbrzych
54.2%

Trefl Sopot
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Wałbrzych has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Trefl Sopot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Wałbrzych than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Górnik Wałbrzych - Trefl Sopot Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Górnik Wałbrzych will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Trefl Sopot will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trefl Sopot: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trefl Sopot will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Anderson A.	33. Goins K.
7. Garcia M.	13. Kacinas M.
22. Jogela T.	55. Schenk J. (C)
24. Marchewka K.	0. Scruggs P.
91. Wyka D. (C)	12. Witlinski M.
Substitutes
40. Benson B.	37. Addae Wusu D.
21. Bojanowski M.	3. Kiejzik S.
41. Kulka G.	7. Nowicki S.
16. Lapeta A.	11. Suurorg K.
25. Puchalski M.	21. Zapala S.
3. Smith I.
Coaches
. Adamek A.	. Larkas M.

Preview

In recent matches, Górnik Wałbrzych has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trefl Sopot's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trefl Sopot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Górnik Wałbrzych won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 245:259. (average 81.7:86.3).

Including home match between the teams, Górnik Wałbrzych won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 83:75.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Gornik Walbrzych	1	0	1	87:88	1
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63:102	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Wałbrzych Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
07.02.26	Dziki Warszawa - Górnik Wałbrzych	78:84 ✺
25.01.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Zielona Góra	82:89 ✺
17.01.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Anwil Włocławek	61:86 ✺
11.01.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	80:72 ✺
06.01.26	Anwil Włocławek - Górnik Wałbrzych	97:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL
- Trefl Sopot
FIBA Europe Cup
11.02.26	Falco Szombathely - Trefl Sopot	83:74 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
07.02.26	Trefl Sopot - MOSiR Krosno	94:81 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
03.02.26	UCAM Murcia - Trefl Sopot	92:66 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
31.01.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	64:104 ✺
24.01.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Trefl Sopot	96:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
26.10.25	Trefl Sopot - Górnik Wałbrzych	84:77
26.04.25	Górnik Wałbrzych - Trefl Sopot	83:75
28.12.24	Trefl Sopot - Górnik Wałbrzych	100:85

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