Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 17

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Aqua Zdroj (Walbrzych)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1


	Górnik Wałbrzych		Zielona Góra

	1	2
	1.69	2.05
	1.73	1.92	Watch
	1.82	2
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	1.97
	1.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	1.98 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Wałbrzych
53%

Zielona Góra
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Wałbrzych has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Wałbrzych than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Górnik Wałbrzych - Zielona Góra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zielona Góra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Zielona Góra will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Cabbil Jr L.	0. Garrison C. J.
7. Garcia M.	32. Maughmer J.
22. Jogela T.	3. Mazurczak A. (C)
24. Marchewka K.	7. Sulima Krzysztof .
91. Wyka D. (C)	13. Szumert J.
Substitutes
15. Anderson A.	12. Cartier P.
40. Benson B.	10. Fayne P.
21. Bojanowski M.	19. Konate S.
16. Lapeta A.	40. Lewis C.
25. Puchalski M.	8. Matczak F.
3. Smith I.	23. Sitnik M.
	77. Woroniecki M.
Coaches
. Adamek A.	. Miloszewski A.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Górnik Wałbrzych won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 288:296. (average 72:74).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Wałbrzych won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 128:147. (average 64:73.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Zielona Gora	2	1	1	199:192	3
11	Gornik Walbrzych	1	0	1	87:88	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Wałbrzych Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
17.01.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Anwil Włocławek	61:86 ✺
11.01.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	80:72 ✺
06.01.26	Anwil Włocławek - Górnik Wałbrzych	97:90 ✺
02.01.26	Czarni Słupsk - Górnik Wałbrzych	88:92 ✺
27.12.25	Górnik Wałbrzych - Toruń	64:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
17.01.26	Trefl Sopot - Zielona Góra	78:75 ✺
11.01.26	Dziki Warszawa - Zielona Góra	98:86 ✺
06.01.26	Zielona Góra - Trefl Sopot	92:90 OT ✺
02.01.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Zielona Góra	90:85 ✺
27.12.25	Zielona Góra - MOSiR Krosno	98:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
03.10.25	Zielona Góra - Górnik Wałbrzych	79:86 OT
02.03.25	Zielona Góra - Górnik Wałbrzych	70:74
25.10.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Zielona Góra	62:56
Club Friendly Basketball
17.08.21	Górnik Wałbrzych - Zielona Góra	66:91

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