What is the expert prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Olympiacos Piraeus?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Olympiacos Piraeus. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

Euroleague - Round 37

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena 8888 Sofia (Sofia)

Referee: Konstantinovs K. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	5 PLUS Israel, Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	2
	1.86	1.79	Watch
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	2.16	1.74
	2.05	1.84	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.97	1.89	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.82)	1.83 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
47.9%

Olympiacos Piraeus
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympiacos Piraeus will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Bryant E.	22. Dorsey T.
17. Malcolm C.	33. Milutinov N.
22. Micic V.	16. Papanikolaou K.
25. Oturu D.	14. Vezenkov A.
24. Wainright I.	0. Walkup T.
Substitutes
2. Blakeney A.	10. Fall M.
15. Edwards K.	45. Hall D.
1. Jones C.	34. Joseph C.
26. Madar Y.	77. McKissic S.
0. Motley J.	25. Peters A.
21. Odiase T.	3. Ward T.
20. Randolph L.
Coaches
. Itoudis D.	. Bartzokas G.

Preview

Neutral location - Arena 8888 Sofia.

Recent performances by Hapoel Tel Aviv have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Olympiacos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hapoel Tel Aviv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:62.

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Outrights of Euroleague for now

Hapoel Tel Aviv: 6.39%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	L
1	Olympiacos ✔	38	26	12	3406:3144
6	Hapoel Tel Aviv ✔	38	23	15	3329:3211

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv BC
Euroleague
07.04.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Fenerbahçe	95:80 ✺
02.04.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Panathinaikos	92:88 ✺
27.03.26	Baskonia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	118:109 ✺
24.03.26	Real Madrid - Hapoel Tel Aviv	92:83 ✺
19.03.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Virtus Bologna	109:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- Olympiacos Piraeus BC
Euroleague
07.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	102:89 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
05.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Mykonos	109:83 ✺
Euroleague
03.04.26	ASVEL Basket - Olympiacos Piraeus	74:82 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
30.03.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	94:101 ✺
Euroleague
24.03.26	Valencia - Olympiacos Piraeus	85:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
31.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Hapoel Tel Aviv	62:58

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