Match Info

Euroleague - Round 27

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Pais Arena (Jerusalem)

Referee: Calic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Hapoel Tel Aviv		Valencia

	1	2
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.51	2.63
	1.56	2.58	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.51	2.67	Watch
	1.52	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.39)	2.58 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tel Aviv
63.1%

Valencia
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Tel Aviv's form might have worsened.

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valencia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Hapoel Tel Aviv - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Valencia will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 67.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Valencia (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valencia will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Valencia (votes: 14 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jones C.	8. Montero J.
17. Malcolm C.	4. Pradilla J.
25. Oturu D.	3. Reuvers N.
10. Timor B.	1. Taylor K.
24. Wainright I.	13. Thompson D.
Substitutes
2. Blakeney A.	5. De Larrea S.
14. Blayzer O.	7. Key B.
26. Madar Y.	10. Moore O.
22. Micic V.	32. Nogues Gonzalez I.
0. Motley J.	2. Puerto J.
21. Odiase T.	12. Sako N.
9. Palatin G.	77. Sima Y.
Coaches
. Itoudis D.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

Recent form of Hapoel Tel Aviv has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hapoel Tel Aviv will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 372:367. (average 93:91.8).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 96:91.

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Hapoel Tel Aviv: 5.34% Valencia: 3.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
2	Valencia	4	4	0	405:356
11	Hapoel Tel Aviv	4	2	2	349:357

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Tel Aviv - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 69.08%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tel Aviv BC
Euroleague
03.02.26	Crvena Zvezda - Hapoel Tel Aviv	87:75 ✺
Israeli Cup Basketball
31.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	83:93 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Bayern München	64:79 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
25.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	112:108 OT ✺
Euroleague
23.01.26	Partizan Belgrade - Hapoel Tel Aviv	104:101 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Valencia BC
Euroleague
03.02.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Valencia	107:90 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.02.26	Valencia - Força Lleida CE	101:65 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Valencia - Maccabi Tel Aviv	94:83 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.01.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia	80:90 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Bayern München - Valencia	97:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
15.10.25	Valencia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	93:100
Eurocup
02.04.25	Valencia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	92:94
28.03.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Valencia	96:91
25.03.25	Valencia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	91:82

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