Match Info
NCAADate: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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Hawaii Warriors |
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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.4 |
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2.85 |
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1.42 |
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2.75 |
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1.5 |
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2.43 |
Watch |
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1.45 |
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2.75 |
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1.41 |
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2.75 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.55) |
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2.71 ↑ (2.21) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 146.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawaii Warriors 65.3% | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawaii Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawaii Warriors's performance.UC Santa Barbara Gauchos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UC Santa Barbara Gauchos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawaii Warriors than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawaii Warriors that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UC Santa Barbara Gauchos than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UC Santa Barbara Gauchos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. bannerPredictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:72 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawaii won 0.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. Hawaii could have a small edge in this match.We predict that Hawaii will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawaii won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1331:1428. (average 66.6:71.4).Including home matches between the teams, Hawaii won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 742:755. (average 67.5:68.6).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 17.01.26 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Hawaii Warriors | 77:62 | | 08.02.25 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Hawaii Warriors | 76:72 | | 02.01.25 | Hawaii Warriors - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61:64 | | 17.02.24 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Hawaii Warriors | 77:71 | | 25.01.24 | Hawaii Warriors - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61:78 | | 04.03.23 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Hawaii Warriors | 81:61 | | 26.01.23 | Hawaii Warriors - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 64:65 |
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