Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 27

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Toolo Sports Hall (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Helsinki Seagulls		Salon Vilpas

	1	2
	2.75	1.42
	2.8	1.43
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.97	1.37
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (1.78)	1.43 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsinki Seagulls
34.4%

Salon Vilpas
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsinki Seagulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helsinki Seagulls's form might have worsened.

Salon Vilpas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salon Vilpas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsinki Seagulls than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helsinki Seagulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Vilpas than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salon Vilpas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Helsinki Seagulls - Salon Vilpas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Helsinki Seagulls will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Salon Vilpas will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salon Vilpas: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Helsinki Seagulls (votes: 1 - 50%). Salon Vilpas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Heinonen O.	12. Adler S.
1. Henry J.	0. Almonor A.
2. Niemi T.	5. Brooks J.
4. Rougeau R. (C)	24. Forrest J.
47. Waxlax R.	20. Vaara M.
Substitutes
0. Chukwuma C.	22. Innamaa E. (C)
25. Hervola L.	14. Lindberg S.
16. Kaivos J.	21. Onyema Z.
40. Kilpinen J.	28. Rantapaju D.
5. Leskinen E.	11. Ronnholm T.
23. Pietrzyk M.	2. Yli-Junnila T.
Coaches
. Saukkola T.	. Savolainen J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helsinki Seagulls won 4.

Helsinki Seagulls is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salon Vilpas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Salon Vilpas will win today's game, with odds of 1.92.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helsinki Seagulls won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1841:1692. (average 92.1:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Helsinki Seagulls won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 952:847. (average 95.2:84.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Helsinki Seagulls	4	2	2	310:316	4
6	Salon Vilpas	2	1	1	201:186	2

Last Results with these Odds

Salon Vilpas - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsinki Seagulls
Finnish Korisliiga
14.02.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	82:79 ✺
10.02.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	79:73 ✺
04.02.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Korihait	88:90 ✺
30.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Espoon Honka	98:82 ✺
24.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	79:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Salon Vilpas
Finnish Korisliiga
14.02.26	Salon Vilpas - KTP Kotka Basket	88:75 ✺
11.02.26	Salon Vilpas - Espoon Honka	98:94 ✺
04.02.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Salon Vilpas	73:98 ✺
31.01.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	73:83 ✺
24.01.26	Salon Vilpas - Pyrinto Tampere	119:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
20.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Salon Vilpas	84:81
15.11.25	Salon Vilpas - Helsinki Seagulls	76:67
14.04.25	Salon Vilpas - Helsinki Seagulls	76:90
11.04.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Salon Vilpas	92:73
08.04.25	Salon Vilpas - Helsinki Seagulls	84:97
05.04.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Salon Vilpas	98:76
15.03.25	Salon Vilpas - Helsinki Seagulls	86:70

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