Match Info

FRANCE: Pro B - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière (Nantes)


	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique		Provence Basket

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.53	2.27
	1.51	2.54
	1.52	2.48	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.5	2.47
	1.53	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.95)	2.35 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
60.5%

Provence Basket
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hermine de Nantes Atlantique's performance.

Provence Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Provence Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermine de Nantes Atlantique than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hermine de Nantes Atlantique that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Basket than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Provence Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Provence Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: Hermine de Nantes Atlantique will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Benitez E.	8. Bouquet D.
27. Dossou J.	0. Etou J.
10. Gauthier S. (C)	55. Sydorov I.
12. Lofberg J.	3. Turner R. (C)
1. Poirier D.	95. Vent V.
Substitutes
17. Boum R.	90. Bourhis L.
28. Kangudia M.	9. Galin M.
32. Kuyo N.	5. Marie-Anais W.
22. Marnette L.	17. Minar K.
2. Ramstedt A.	7. Niang M.
	87. Sane L.
Coaches
. Valin R.	. Giuitta R.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 2.

Nantes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Provence is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nantes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Nantes won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1220:1238 (average 71.8:72.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 579:573 (average 72.4:71.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
French Elite 2
01.11.24	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Antibes	79:82 ✺
29.10.24	Caen - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	89:77 ✺
25.10.24	Vichy-Clermont - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	81:66 ✺
18.10.24	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	69:73 ✺
11.10.24	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Alliance Sport Alsace	85:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fos Ouest Provence Basket
French Elite 2
05.11.24	Provence Basket - ASC Denain-Voltaire PH	74:72 ✺
02.11.24	Orléans Loiret - Provence Basket	90:78 ✺
29.10.24	Vichy-Clermont - Provence Basket	82:71 ✺
25.10.24	Provence Basket - ADA Blois	63:65 ✺
18.10.24	Provence Basket - Champagne Chalons-Reims	95:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
06.02.24	Provence Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	83:58
22.12.23	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Provence Basket	82:70
11.06.21	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Provence Basket	71:89
23.10.20	Provence Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	78:83
04.02.20	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Provence Basket	77:80
08.11.19	Provence Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	64:67
06.02.18	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Provence Basket	70:76

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Provence Basket: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide