Match Info

NBL1 East Women

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Hills Hornets		Maitland Mustangs

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.6	2.05
	1.63	2.19
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.6	2.16
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.42)	2.12 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hills Hornets
56.7%

Maitland Mustangs
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hills Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hills Hornets's form might have worsened.

Maitland Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maitland Mustangs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hills Hornets than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hills won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hills has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hills won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 418:404. (average 69.7:67.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hills won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 138:141. (average 69:70.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hills Hornets Women
Australian NBL1 East Women
27.06.26	Hills Hornets - Illawarra Hawks	91:61 ✺
20.06.26	Hills Hornets - Sutherland Sharks	91:68 ✺
20.06.26	Hornsby Spiders - Hills Hornets	73:100 ✺
13.06.26	Hills Hornets - Albury Wodonga Bandits	78:104 ✺
30.05.26	Hills Hornets - Inner West Bulls	102:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW
- Maitland Mustangs Women
Australian NBL1 East Women
27.06.26	Maitland Mustangs - Central Coast Crusaders	89:42 ✺
19.06.26	Penrith Panthers - Maitland Mustangs	53:81 ✺
13.06.26	Maitland Mustangs - Inner West Bulls	111:71 ✺
13.06.26	Maitland Mustangs - Sydney Comets	79:69 ✺
30.05.26	Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs	76:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East Women
23.05.26	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	82:76
12.04.25	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	70:58
11.05.24	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	56:72
29.04.23	Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs	59:69
16.07.22	Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs	79:72
09.04.22	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	55:74

Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide