Match Info

B.League

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hiroshima Sun Plaza (Hiroshima) 🌤️ ...


	Hiroshima Dragonflies		Toyama Grouses

	1	2
	1.95	1.74
	1.53	2.25	Watch
	2.12	1.67
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.7
	2.14	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.41)	1.78 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroshima Dragonflies
47.2%

Toyama Grouses
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroshima Dragonflies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroshima Dragonflies's form might have worsened.

Toyama Grouses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toyama Grouses's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Dragonflies than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroshima Dragonflies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyama Grouses than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toyama Grouses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Hiroshima Dragonflies - Toyama Grouses Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dragonflies will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Toyama will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cockburn K.	8. Kell T.
3. Ito T.	25. Kuzuhura D.
24. Mayo N.	12. Motum B.
34. Mitani K.	3. Okada Y.
30. Yamazaki R.	6. Williams N.
Substitutes
32. Hareyama K.	13. Aquino M.
1. Ichikawa M.	2. Fujinaga Y. (C)
10. Kamisawa T. (C)	14. Izumi T.
4. Roberts K.	7. Miyamoto K.
14. Sako R.	24. Morin Y.
	17. Tanaka H.
	11. Uto N.
Coaches
. Asayama S.	. Gomez D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dragonflies won 4.

Dragonflies is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toyama is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dragonflies could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dragonflies won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1032:1052. (average 79.4:80.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dragonflies won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 568:562. (average 81.1:80.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hiroshima Dragonflies - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.69%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroshima Dragonflies
Japan B League Premier
02.05.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Toyama Grouses	89:96 ✺
26.04.26	Chiba Jets - Hiroshima Dragonflies	88:74 ✺
25.04.26	Chiba Jets - Hiroshima Dragonflies	83:68 ✺
22.04.26	Shiga Lakestars - Hiroshima Dragonflies	69:81 ✺
19.04.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Shimane Susanoo Magic	72:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Toyama Grouses
Japan B League Premier
02.05.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Toyama Grouses	89:96 ✺
26.04.26	Toyama Grouses - Akita Northern Happinets	94:77 ✺
25.04.26	Toyama Grouses - Akita Northern Happinets	82:72 ✺
22.04.26	SAN-EN NeoPhoenix - Toyama Grouses	94:86 ✺
19.04.26	Toyama Grouses - Sendai 89ers	92:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
02.05.26	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Toyama Grouses	89:96
14.04.24	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Toyama Grouses	83:65
13.04.24	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Toyama Grouses	84:46
26.03.23	Toyama Grouses - Hiroshima Dragonflies	77:94
25.03.23	Toyama Grouses - Hiroshima Dragonflies	70:81
29.01.22	Toyama Grouses - Hiroshima Dragonflies	89:75
29.01.22	Toyama Grouses - Hiroshima Dragonflies	85:68

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