Match Info

ICELAND: Premier League - Round 20

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: MVA-hollin Egilsstodum (Egilsstadir)


	Hottur		Thor Thorl

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.75	1.37	Watch
	3.07	1.32
	2.97	1.35	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.07)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hottur
34.1%

Thor Thorl
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hottur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hottur's form might have worsened.

Thor Thorl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Thorl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hottur than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hottur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Thorl than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thor Thorl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hottur - Thor Thorl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Aevarsson E.	25. Bragason R.
22. Asgeirsson A. (C)	7. Einarsson E. (C)
15. Knezevic N.	1. Mustapha H.
23. Olafsson O.	45. Semple J.
0. Trotter O.	5. Tomsick N.
Substitutes
13. Guardia R. D.	13. Agustsson D.
9. Hakonarson S.	16. Gunnlaugsson O.
12. Heede-Andersen A.	14. Sigurdsson S.
77. Karlovic M.	55. Tamulis J.
3. Magnusson A.
8. Stefansson V.
24. Suhr-Jessen G. L.
Coaches
. Hafsteinsson V.	. Jonsson L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hottur won 2.

Hottur has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Thor Thorl is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thor Thorl will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hottur won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 837:929 (average 83.7:92.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Hottur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 415:454 (average 83:90.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hottur Egilsstadir
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
01.03.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - Hottur	97:75 ✺
13.02.25	Hottur - Stjarnan	83:86 ✺
07.02.25	Valur - Hottur	92:58 ✺
30.01.25	Hottur - Tindastóll	85:97 ✺
23.01.25	Njarðvík - Hottur	110:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Thor Thorl
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
28.02.25	Thor Thorl - Stjarnan	94:91 OT ✺
13.02.25	Tindastóll - Thor Thorl	109:96 ✺
06.02.25	Thor Thorl - Grindavík	95:104 ✺
02.02.25	Haukar - Thor Thorl	99:100 ✺
24.01.25	Thor Thorl - IR Reykjavík	94:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
05.12.24	Thor Thorl - Hottur	106:84
25.01.24	Thor Thorl - Hottur	89:92
26.10.23	Hottur - Thor Thorl	83:84
28.01.23	Hottur - Thor Thorl	83:86
20.10.22	Thor Thorl - Hottur	89:91
03.05.21	Hottur - Thor Thorl	85:100
07.02.21	Thor Thorl - Hottur	97:89

Hottur - Thor Thorl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide