Match Info

NBA

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Toyota Center (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Houston Rockets		Charlotte Hornets

	1	2
	1.56	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.45
	1.56	2.48
	1.57	2.56
	1.56	2.57	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.62
	1.52	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	2.53 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 219.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Rockets
61.9%

Charlotte Hornets
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Rockets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Charlotte Hornets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Hornets than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	0%	38.1%

Houston Rockets - Charlotte Hornets Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Charlotte will win (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 50%). Charlotte (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 216.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5, OT - Houston (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 3 - 60%). Charlotte (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 113:108

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Durant K.	24. Miller B.
10. Smith Jr. J.	0. Bridges M.
28. Sengun A.	14. Diabate M.
20. Okogie J.	7. Knueppel K.
1. Thompson A.	1. Ball La.
Substitutes
30. Capela C.	10. Green J.
27. Crawford I.	4. James S.
4. Davison J.	11. Kalkbrenner R.
2. Finney-Smith D.	23. Mann T.
32. Green Je.	2. Williams G.
0. Holiday A.
15. Sheppard R.
Coaches
. Udoka I.	. Lee C.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 4.

Recent performances by Houston have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Charlotte is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Houston might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Houston: Adams S. (Ankle Injury) Finney-Smith D. (Ankle Injury) VanVleet F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Charlotte: Plumlee M. (Groin Injury) Simpson K. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Charlotte: Salaun T. (Illness)

We predict that Charlotte will win today's game, with odds of 2.3.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2266:2227. (average 113.3:111.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1167:1137. (average 116.7:113.7).

Outrights of NBA for now

Houston Rockets: 1.79% Charlotte Hornets: 0.88%

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Rockets - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.41%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Charlotte Hornets - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Rockets
NBA
04.02.26	Houston Rockets - Boston Celtics	93:114 ✺
02.02.26	Indiana Pacers - Houston Rockets	114:118 ✺
31.01.26	Houston Rockets - Dallas Mavericks	111:107 ✺
29.01.26	Atlanta Hawks - Houston Rockets	86:104 ✺
28.01.26	Houston Rockets - San Antonio Spurs	99:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWL
- Charlotte Hornets
NBA
02.02.26	Charlotte Hornets - New Orleans Pelicans	102:95 ✺
31.01.26	Charlotte Hornets - San Antonio Spurs	111:106 ✺
29.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Charlotte Hornets	121:123 ✺
28.01.26	Memphis Grizzlies - Charlotte Hornets	97:112 ✺
26.01.26	Charlotte Hornets - Philadelphia 76ers	130:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
23.12.24	Charlotte Hornets - Houston Rockets	101:114
23.10.24	Houston Rockets - Charlotte Hornets	105:110
26.01.24	Charlotte Hornets - Houston Rockets	104:138
01.11.23	Houston Rockets - Charlotte Hornets	128:119
07.04.23	Charlotte Hornets - Houston Rockets	109:112
18.01.23	Houston Rockets - Charlotte Hornets	117:122
27.12.21	Charlotte Hornets - Houston Rockets	123:99

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