Match Info

NBA

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	00:00	NBA Global League Pass


	Indiana Pacers		Houston Rockets

	1	2
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	2.95	1.4
	3.21	1.39
	3.21	1.39	Watch
	3.05	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.44
	3.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.77)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 218.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indiana Pacers
30.9%

Houston Rockets
69.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indiana Pacers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Houston Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Pacers than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indiana Pacers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Houston Rockets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Indiana Pacers - Houston Rockets Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Indiana will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Houston will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Indiana (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Houston (votes: 12 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Indiana (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5, OT - Houston (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 219.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Indiana (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Houston (votes: 14 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 106:113

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Furphy J.	17. Eason T.
43. Siakam P.	10. Smith Jr. J.
32. Huff J.	28. Sengun A.
23. Nesmith A.	15. Sheppard R.
2. Nembhard A.	1. Thompson A.
Substitutes
22. Jackson I.	30. Capela C.
7. Jones K.	27. Crawford I.
00. Mathurin B.	2. Finney-Smith D.
9. McConnell T.J.	32. Green Je.
11. Potter M.	0. Holiday A.
26. Sheppard B.	20. Okogie J.
5. Walker J.	8. Tate J.
Coaches
. Carlisle R.	. Udoka I.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 3.

In recent matches, Indiana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Houston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Indiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Houston is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Indiana: Haliburton T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Toppin O. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Houston: Adams S. (Ankle Injury) Durant K. (Ankle Injury) VanVleet F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2240:2257. (average 112:112.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 910:881. (average 113.8:110.1).

Outrights of NBA for now

Houston Rockets: 4.55% Indiana Pacers: 2.19%

Last Results with these Odds

Indiana Pacers - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indiana Pacers
NBA
31.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Atlanta Hawks	129:124 ✺
28.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Chicago Bulls	113:110 ✺
26.01.26	Atlanta Hawks - Indiana Pacers	132:116 ✺
23.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers	114:117 ✺
21.01.26	Boston Celtics - Indiana Pacers	119:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWLWL
- Houston Rockets
NBA
31.01.26	Houston Rockets - Dallas Mavericks	111:107 ✺
29.01.26	Atlanta Hawks - Houston Rockets	86:104 ✺
28.01.26	Houston Rockets - San Antonio Spurs	99:111 ✺
26.01.26	Houston Rockets - Memphis Grizzlies	108:99 ✺
23.01.26	Detroit Pistons - Houston Rockets	104:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
29.12.25	Houston Rockets - Indiana Pacers	126:119
04.03.25	Indiana Pacers - Houston Rockets	115:102
20.11.24	Houston Rockets - Indiana Pacers	130:113
06.02.24	Indiana Pacers - Houston Rockets	132:129
26.12.23	Houston Rockets - Indiana Pacers	117:123
10.10.23	Houston Rockets - Indiana Pacers	122:103
09.03.23	Indiana Pacers - Houston Rockets	134:125 OT

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