Match Info

NBA

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyota Center (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Houston Rockets		Cleveland Cavaliers

	1	2
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.15
	1.84	2.06	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.75	2.23
	1.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.4)	2.15 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 233.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Rockets
55.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Rockets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Rockets's form might have worsened.

Cleveland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cleveland Cavaliers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Rockets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cleveland Cavaliers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.3%	0%	60.7%

Houston Rockets - Cleveland Cavaliers Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Cleveland will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5, OT - Cleveland (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5, OT - Houston (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5, 1st Half - Houston (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cleveland Cavaliers will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Cleveland (votes: 11 - 68.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 119:116

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Eason T.	5. Merrill S.
10. Smith Jr. J.	32. Wade D.
12. Adams S.	31. Allen J.
7. Durant K.	45. Mitchell D.
1. Thompson A.	10. Garland D.
Coaches
. Udoka I.	. Atkinson K.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cleveland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Houston has had a series of away games.

Houston might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Houston: VanVleet F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cleveland: Nance L. (Calf Injury) Strus M. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2122:2146. (average 106.1:107.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 871:847. (average 108.9:105.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Rockets - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.43%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Rockets
NBA
25.12.25	Los Angeles Lakers - Houston Rockets	96:119 ✺
23.12.25	Los Angeles Clippers - Houston Rockets	128:108 ✺
21.12.25	Sacramento Kings - Houston Rockets	125:124 OT ✺
20.12.25	Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets	101:115 ✺
18.12.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Houston Rockets	133:128 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL
- Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
25.12.25	New York Knicks - Cleveland Cavaliers	126:124 ✺
23.12.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - New Orleans Pelicans	141:118 ✺
22.12.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Charlotte Hornets	139:132 ✺
19.12.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Chicago Bulls	125:136 ✺
17.12.25	Chicago Bulls - Cleveland Cavaliers	127:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
19.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Houston Rockets	104:114
25.01.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Houston Rockets	131:135
22.01.25	Houston Rockets - Cleveland Cavaliers	109:108
16.03.24	Houston Rockets - Cleveland Cavaliers	117:103
18.12.23	Cleveland Cavaliers - Houston Rockets	135:130 OT
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
17.07.23	Cleveland Cavaliers - Houston Rockets	99:78
NBA
26.03.23	Cleveland Cavaliers - Houston Rockets	108:91

Houston Rockets - Cleveland Cavaliers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide