Match Info

NBA

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Toyota Center (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Houston Rockets		Denver Nuggets

	1	2
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.72	2.18
	1.59	2.33	Watch
			Watch
	1.78	2.19
	1.66	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 234.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Rockets
57.4%

Denver Nuggets
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Denver Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Denver will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Denver (votes: 8 - 53.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 234.5, OT - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -3.5, OT - Houston (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 8 - 50%). Denver (votes: 8 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 119:116

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Smith Jr. J.	8. Watson P.
28. Sengun A.	32. Gordon A.
12. Adams S.	15. Jokic N.
7. Durant K.	23. Johnson C.
1. Thompson A.	27. Murray J.
Coaches
. Udoka I.	. Adelman D.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

Houston is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Denver is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Denver has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Houston: Eason T. (Abdominal strain) Finney-Smith D. (Ankle Injury) VanVleet F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Denver: Braun C. (Ankle Injury) Strawther J. L. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Denver: Gordon A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 2242:2307. (average 112.1:115.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1131:1129. (average 113.1:112.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Denver Nuggets - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 45.2%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Rockets
NBA
19.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Houston Rockets	104:114 ✺
16.11.25	Houston Rockets - Orlando Magic	117:113 OT ✺
14.11.25	Houston Rockets - Portland Trail Blazers	140:116 ✺
12.11.25	Houston Rockets - Washington Wizards	135:112 ✺
09.11.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Houston Rockets	115:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Denver Nuggets
NBA
19.11.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets	118:125 ✺
17.11.25	Denver Nuggets - Chicago Bulls	127:130 ✺
15.11.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets	112:123 ✺
12.11.25	Los Angeles Clippers - Denver Nuggets	116:130 ✺
11.11.25	Sacramento Kings - Denver Nuggets	108:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
13.04.25	Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets	111:126
23.03.25	Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets	111:116
15.01.25	Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets	108:128
08.12.23	Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets	106:114
29.11.23	Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets	134:124
24.11.23	Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets	105:86
12.11.23	Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets	107:104

Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide