Match Info
NBADate: 13 January 2026, TuesdayLocation: Smoothie King Center (New Orleans, LA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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New Orleans Pelicans |
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Denver Nuggets |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 233.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by
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New Orleans Pelicans
47.2% | Denver Nuggets
52.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Orleans Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Orleans Pelicans's performance.Denver Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denver Nuggets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (+3.3%)New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Denver will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 46.6% – 82%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Denver (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2, OT - Denver (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 221.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - New Orleans (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Half - New Orleans (2.12) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. New Orleans (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Denver (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 116:118 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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41.  Bey S.
| 21. Jones S.
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1. Williamson Z.
| 8. Watson P.
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22. Queen D.
| 32. Gordon A.
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25. Murphy T.
| 24. Pickett J.
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0. Fears J.
| 27.  Murray J.
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| Coaches |
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| . Adelman D.
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Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 0.New Orleans is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Denver has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Denver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, New Orleans has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.There will not play in New Orleans: Alvarado J.
(Injury)
Jones H.
(Ankle Injury)
Murray D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)There will not play in Denver: Bates T.
(Foot Injury)
Johnson C.
(Knee Injury)
Jokic N.
(Knee Injury)
Valanciunas J.
(Calf Injury)There are questionable in New Orleans: Bey S.
(Hip Injury)There are questionable in Denver: Braun C.
(Ankle Injury)
Murray J.
(Ankle Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Orleans won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 2215:2323. (average 110.8:116.2).Including home matches between the teams, New Orleans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1009:1015. (average 112.1:112.8).
Outrights of NBA for now
Denver Nuggets: 3.38% New Orleans Pelicans: 0.25%
Last Results with these Odds
Denver Nuggets - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 59.11%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 19.11.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets | 118:125 | | 29.10.25 | Denver Nuggets - New Orleans Pelicans | 122:88 | | 05.02.25 | Denver Nuggets - New Orleans Pelicans | 144:119 | | 03.02.25 | Denver Nuggets - New Orleans Pelicans | 125:113 | | 22.12.24 | New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets | 129:132 OT | | 15.11.24 | New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets | 101:94 | | NBA Las Vegas Summer League | | | 20.07.24 | Denver Nuggets - New Orleans Pelicans | 91:82 |
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