Match Info
NBA - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 1 May 2026, FridayLocation: Toyota Center (Houston, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Houston Rockets |
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Los Angeles Lakers |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 203.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Houston Rockets
62.1% | Los Angeles Lakers
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Los Angeles Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Lakers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Lakers Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). LA Lakers will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 56% – 91.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Houston Rockets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 105:100 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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17.  Eason T.
| 28.  Hachimura R.
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10. Smith Jr. J.
| 23. James L.
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28.  Sengun A.
| 5.  Ayton D.
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15. Sheppard R.
| 36. Smart M.
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1. Thompson A.
| 15. Reaves A.
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| Coaches |
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. Udoka I.
| . Redick J.
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Preview
Los Angeles Lakers leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. Houston could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2224:2207. (average 111.2:110.4).Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1175:1134. (average 117.5:113.4).
Outrights of NBA for now
Los Angeles Lakers: 2.16% Houston Rockets: 1.79%
Last Results with these Odds
Houston Rockets - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.
Los Angeles Lakers - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 29.04.26 | Los Angeles Lakers - Houston Rockets | 93:99 | | 26.04.26 | Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Lakers | 115:96 | | 24.04.26 | Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Lakers | 108:112 OT | | 21.04.26 | Los Angeles Lakers - Houston Rockets | 101:94 | | 18.04.26 | Los Angeles Lakers - Houston Rockets | 107:98 | | 18.03.26 | Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Lakers | 116:124 | | 16.03.26 | Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Lakers | 92:100 |
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