Match Info

NBA

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Toyota Center (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Houston Rockets		Phoenix Suns

	1	2
	1.32	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.33	3.57	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.33	3.73
	1.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	3.56 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 222.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Rockets
73%

Phoenix Suns
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Phoenix Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Suns than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Houston Rockets - Phoenix Suns Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Phoenix will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Phoenix: 32% – 80.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -11.5, OT - Phoenix (9.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Phoenix Suns will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Phoenix (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 115:107

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Eason T.	3. Brooks D.
10. Smith Jr. J.	00. O'Neale R.
12. Adams S.	15. Williams M.
7. Durant K.	1. Booker D.
1. Thompson A.	12. Gillespie C.
Substitutes
30. Capela C.	8. Allen G.
27. Crawford I.	0. Dunn R.
2. Finney-Smith D.	20. Fleming R.
32. Green Je.	23. Goodwin J.
0. Holiday A.	21. Hayes N.
20. Okogie J.	11. Ighodaro O.
15. Sheppard R.	18. Livers I.
8. Tate J.	10. Maluach K.
	2. Richards N.
Coaches
. Udoka I.	. Ott J.

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 5.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Houston is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Houston: Sengun A. (Ankle Injury) VanVleet F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Phoenix: Green J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Houston: Adams S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Phoenix: Allen G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2278:2300. (average 113.9:115).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1119:1135. (average 111.9:113.5).

Outrights of NBA for now

Houston Rockets: 1.78% Phoenix Suns: 0.71%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Rockets
NBA
03.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Houston Rockets	110:104 ✺
01.01.26	Brooklyn Nets - Houston Rockets	96:120 ✺
29.12.25	Houston Rockets - Indiana Pacers	126:119 ✺
27.12.25	Houston Rockets - Cleveland Cavaliers	117:100 ✺
25.12.25	Los Angeles Lakers - Houston Rockets	96:119 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- Phoenix Suns
NBA
04.01.26	Phoenix Suns - Oklahoma City Thunder	108:105 ✺
02.01.26	Phoenix Suns - Sacramento Kings	129:102 ✺
31.12.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Phoenix Suns	129:113 ✺
29.12.25	Washington Wizards - Phoenix Suns	101:115 ✺
27.12.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns	114:123 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
05.12.25	Houston Rockets - Phoenix Suns	117:98
24.11.25	Phoenix Suns - Houston Rockets	92:114
30.03.25	Phoenix Suns - Houston Rockets	109:148
12.03.25	Houston Rockets - Phoenix Suns	111:104
12.02.25	Houston Rockets - Phoenix Suns	119:111
02.03.24	Phoenix Suns - Houston Rockets	109:118
29.02.24	Phoenix Suns - Houston Rockets	110:105

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