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Current Win Probability
Idaho Vandals 71.4%
Sacramento State Hornets 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.6%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Idaho Vandals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Sacramento State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Idaho Vandals than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Idaho Vandals that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento State Hornets than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento State Hornets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Idaho Vandals - Sacramento State Hornets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:76
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Idaho won 4.
Recent performances by Idaho have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sacramento State is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Idaho is a strong favorite.
We predict that Idaho will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Idaho won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1384:1402. (average 69.2:70.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Idaho won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 662:664. (average 73.6:73.8).