The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilirija 53.1%
Mega Basket 46.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
51.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilirija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Mega Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Ilirija - Mega Basket Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Boisa L.
15. Backo P.
18. Dean H.
5. Boskovic M.
8. Muric E.
77. Lucic A.
20. Shelton C.
10. Maniema L.
7. Todorovic S.
8. Vojinovic A.
Substitutes
5. Cibej M.
22. Bjelica P.
6. Cop G.
11. Hrelja T.
24. Copot J.
7. Musicki A.
3. Gabrijel B.
28. Paunov L.
13. Hargrove C.
3. Suput M.
11. Hrabar V.
88. Suput U.
Coaches
. Okorn G.
. Avdalovic V.
Preview
Ilirija has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Mega Basket has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mega Basket could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ilirija has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 160:195 (averaging 80:97.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilirija against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 77:86 goals.