Match Info

Proliga - Winners stage - Round 13

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista (Portimão)


	Portimonense		Illiabum

	1	2
	1.8	1.8
	1.84	1.83
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.78)	1.84 (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
50.2%

Illiabum
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Illiabum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Portimonense - Illiabum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fragoso D. (C)	44. Caldeira S.
23. Monteiro A.	7. Costa P.
0. Parrinha A.	15. Cristo R.
13. Santinhos G.	10. Martinho J.
8. Sotta H.	14. Sico M. (C)
Substitutes
11. Fall C.	35. Alves D.
14. Goncalves F.	34. Arikawe T.
9. Grewal J.	9. Lopes P.
4. Marreiros R.	20. Martins J.
6. Mota J.	12. Neto H.
00. Semedo R.	30. Nunes F.
22. Staine F.	3. Rayquawndis M.
Coaches
. Almeida C.	. Fechas C.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 392:381. (average 78.4:76.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 163:145. (average 81.5:72.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Illiabum	1	1	0	85:75	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
18.04.26	Maia - Portimonense	73:63 ✺
07.04.26	Portimonense - Imortal B	76:67 ✺
28.03.26	Madeira - Portimonense	81:74 ✺
21.03.26	Ginásio Olhanense - Portimonense	83:90 ✺
14.03.26	Portimonense - Casino Ginásio	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
19.04.26	Imortal B - Illiabum	40:77 ✺
04.04.26	Illiabum - Ginásio Olhanense	91:67 ✺
28.03.26	Povoa - Illiabum	75:48 ✺
21.03.26	Illiabum - Maia	72:69 ✺
14.03.26	Madeira - Illiabum	68:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
28.02.26	Illiabum - Portimonense	73:66
29.03.25	Illiabum - Portimonense	80:70
08.02.25	Portimonense - Illiabum	76:60
25.03.23	Illiabum - Portimonense	83:93
25.02.23	Portimonense - Illiabum	87:85

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