Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN


	Illinois Fighting Illini		Iowa Hawkeyes

	1	2
	1.25	3.75
	1.27	3.5
	1.3	3.94
	1.32	3.16	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.3	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (2.88)	3.55 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illinois Fighting Illini
73.4%

Iowa Hawkeyes
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois Fighting Illini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+41.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illinois Fighting Illini's performance.

Iowa Hawkeyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-41.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iowa Hawkeyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (-37.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illinois Fighting Illini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Hawkeyes than the current prediction. (+37.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iowa Hawkeyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Illinois will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Iowa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:66

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illinois won 5.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Iowa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Illinois is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illinois won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1571:1551. (average 78.6:77.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Illinois won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 834:779. (average 83.4:77.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois Fighting Illini basketball
NCAA College Basketball
26.03.26	Houston Cougars - Illinois Fighting Illini	55:65 ✺
21.03.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	76:55 ✺
19.03.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Pennsylvania Quakers	105:70 ✺
13.03.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Wisconsin Badgers	88:91 OT ✺
08.03.26	Maryland Terrapins - Illinois Fighting Illini	72:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW
- Iowa Hawkeyes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
26.03.26	Nebraska Cornhuskers - Iowa Hawkeyes	71:77 ✺
22.03.26	Florida Gators - Iowa Hawkeyes	72:73 ✺
20.03.26	Clemson Tigers - Iowa Hawkeyes	61:67 ✺
12.03.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Iowa Hawkeyes	72:69 ✺
11.03.26	Iowa Hawkeyes - Maryland Terrapins	75:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
11.01.26	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	69:75
13.03.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	106:94
25.02.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	81:61
10.03.24	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	61:73
24.02.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	95:85
04.02.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	81:79
06.03.22	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	74:72

Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide