Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Incarnate Word Cardinals		New Orleans Privateers

	1	2
	1.67	2.15
	1.75	2.1
	1.65	2.12
	1.68	2.21
	1.66	2.12	Watch
	1.7	2.15
	1.69	2.09
	1.64	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	2.16 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incarnate Word Cardinals
56.2%

New Orleans Privateers
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incarnate Word Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

New Orleans Privateers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incarnate Word Cardinals than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Privateers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Incarnate Word Cardinals - New Orleans Privateers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:76

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incarnate Word won 3.

Incarnate Word has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

New Orleans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Incarnate Word won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1144:1211. (average 71.5:75.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Incarnate Word won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 567:594. (average 70.9:74.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incarnate Word Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Incarnate Word Cardinals - Nicholls State Colonels	83:91 ✺
09.02.26	Southeastern Louisiana Lions - Incarnate Word Cardinals	74:62 ✺
07.02.26	McNeese State Cowboys - Incarnate Word Cardinals	81:64 ✺
02.02.26	Texas A&M-CC Islanders - Incarnate Word Cardinals	69:71 ✺
31.01.26	Incarnate Word Cardinals - UTRGV Vaqueros	93:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWL
- New Orleans Privateers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.02.26	Houston Christian Huskies - New Orleans Privateers	61:60 ✺
09.02.26	New Orleans Privateers - Texas A&M-CC Islanders	84:78 OT ✺
07.02.26	New Orleans Privateers - UTRGV Vaqueros	76:95 ✺
02.02.26	East Texas A&M Lions - New Orleans Privateers	85:94 ✺
31.01.26	New Orleans Privateers - Northwestern State Demons	75:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.12.25	New Orleans Privateers - Incarnate Word Cardinals	84:83
10.02.25	Incarnate Word Cardinals - New Orleans Privateers	75:65
27.01.25	New Orleans Privateers - Incarnate Word Cardinals	58:74
02.03.24	Incarnate Word Cardinals - New Orleans Privateers	80:87
03.02.24	New Orleans Privateers - Incarnate Word Cardinals	80:82
04.02.23	New Orleans Privateers - Incarnate Word Cardinals	70:78
12.01.23	Incarnate Word Cardinals - New Orleans Privateers	79:85 OT

Incarnate Word Cardinals - New Orleans Privateers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide