Match Info
WNBADate: 6 August 2026, ThursdayLocation: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
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Indiana Fever |
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Las Vegas Aces |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 192.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Indiana Fever
52% | Las Vegas Aces
48% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Indiana Fever have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Las Vegas Aces have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Fever than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (-1.8%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Indiana will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indiana: 50.5% – 99.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:95 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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25.  Billings M.
| 12. Gray C.
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7. Boston A.
| 3. Smith N.
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22. Clark C.
| 7.  Talbot S.
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10. Hull L.
| 22. Wilson A.
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0. Mitchell K.
| 0. Young J.
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| Coaches |
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. White S.
| . Hammon B.
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 3.Indiana is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Las Vegas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Indiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1616:1694. (average 80.8:84.7).Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 693:726. (average 77:80.7).
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Last Results with these Odds
Indiana Fever - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 52.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WNBA | | | 12.07.26 | Las Vegas Aces - Indiana Fever | 75:109 | | 05.07.26 | Las Vegas Aces - Indiana Fever | 68:84 | | 30.09.25 | Las Vegas Aces - Indiana Fever | 107:98 OT | | 28.09.25 | Indiana Fever - Las Vegas Aces | 90:83 | | 26.09.25 | Indiana Fever - Las Vegas Aces | 72:84 | | 23.09.25 | Las Vegas Aces - Indiana Fever | 90:68 | | 21.09.25 | Las Vegas Aces - Indiana Fever | 73:89 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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