Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Iowa Hawkeyes		Illinois Fighting Illini

	1	2
	2	1.83
	1.95	1.78
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.73
	2.05	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.86)	1.8 (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iowa Hawkeyes
47.5%

Illinois Fighting Illini
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iowa Hawkeyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Illinois Fighting Illini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Hawkeyes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 1.

Iowa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Illinois has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Iowa has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1550:1556. (average 77.5:77.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 771:722. (average 77.1:72.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa Hawkeyes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.01.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Iowa Hawkeyes	70:67 ✺
03.01.26	Iowa Hawkeyes - UCLA Bruins	74:61 ✺
29.12.25	Iowa Hawkeyes - UMass Lowell River Hawks	90:62 ✺
20.12.25	Iowa Hawkeyes - Bucknell Bison	94:39 ✺
14.12.25	Iowa Hawkeyes - Western Michigan Broncos	91:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW
- Illinois Fighting Illini basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.01.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Rutgers Scarlet Knights	81:55 ✺
03.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Illinois Fighting Illini	65:73 ✺
29.12.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Southern University Jaguars	90:55 ✺
22.12.25	Missouri Tigers - Illinois Fighting Illini	91:48 ✺
13.12.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Nebraska Cornhuskers	80:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
13.03.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	106:94
25.02.25	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	81:61
10.03.24	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	61:73
24.02.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	95:85
04.02.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	81:79
06.03.22	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	74:72
06.12.21	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	83:87

Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide