Match Info

ASIA: ASIAN GAMES - 5TH-8TH PLACES - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Iran		South Korea

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	2.1	1.62
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.12	1.76
	2.1	1.67
	2.17	1.61
	2.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.63)	1.71 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iran
44.9%

South Korea
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iran's performance.

South Korea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Korea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iran than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Korea than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Korea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Iran - South Korea Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Iran will win (votes: 3 - 30%). South Korea will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for South Korea: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iran won 5.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Iran could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

South Korea will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Iran won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 618-518.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iran basketball
Asian Games Basketball
03.10.23	Iran - Philippines	83:84 ✺
30.09.23	Iran - Kazakhstan	86:60 ✺
28.09.23	Saudi Arabia - Iran	66:81 ✺
25.09.23	Iran - United Arab Emirates	81:57 ✺
World Championship Basketball
02.09.23	Iran - Lebanon	73:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL
- South Korea basketball
Asian Games Basketball
03.10.23	China - South Korea	84:70 ✺
02.10.23	South Korea - Bahrain	88:73 ✺
29.09.23	Japan - South Korea	83:77 ✺
28.09.23	Qatar - South Korea	64:76 ✺
26.09.23	South Korea - Indonesia	95:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Games Basketball
30.08.18	South Korea - Iran	68:80
Asia Cup Basketball
19.08.17	Iran - South Korea	83:78
Asia Challenge Basketball
18.09.16	South Korea - Iran	47:77
14.09.16	Iran - South Korea	85:47
Basketball Asia Championship
01.10.15	Iran - South Korea	75:62
Asian Games Basketball
03.10.14	South Korea - Iran	79:77
Friendly International Basketball
13.08.14	South Korea - Iran	72:65

Iran - South Korea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide