The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Irapuato Freseros 25.7%
Dorados de Chihuahua 74.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Irapuato Freseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irapuato Freseros's form might have worsened.
Dorados de Chihuahua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorados de Chihuahua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato Freseros than the current prediction. (+23.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irapuato Freseros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados de Chihuahua than the current prediction. (-23.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorados de Chihuahua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Irapuato Freseros - Dorados de Chihuahua Predictions
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th and 6th in the Promotion - LNBP Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 0.
Irapuato has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Dorados have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Irapuato has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 746:819 (averaging 82.9:91 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Irapuato against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 587:646 goals (averaging 83.9:92.3 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
L
Pts
6
Dorados
28
17
11
2409:2368
45
13
Freseros
28
9
19
2379:2586
37
Last Results with these Odds
Dorados de Chihuahua - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.19%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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