Match Info

MEXICO: LNBP

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday


	Irapuato Freseros		Halcones Rojos Veracruz

	1	2
	2.69	1.43
	2.54	1.49
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.32)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato Freseros
34.9%

Halcones Rojos Veracruz
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato Freseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irapuato Freseros's form might have worsened.

Halcones Rojos Veracruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Halcones Rojos Veracruz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato Freseros than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irapuato Freseros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halcones Rojos Veracruz than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Halcones Rojos Veracruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Irapuato Freseros - Halcones Rojos Veracruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:84

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: )).

Irapuato has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Halcones Rojos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Halcones Rojos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Irapuato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 68-107.

Including matches at home between the teams Irapuato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 68-107.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato Freseros
Mexican LNBP
12.09.23	Irapuato Freseros - Halcones Rojos Veracruz	68:107 ✺
08.09.23	Astros de Jalisco - Irapuato Freseros	97:84 ✺
07.09.23	Astros de Jalisco - Irapuato Freseros	95:90 ✺
01.09.23	Irapuato Freseros - Panteras de Aguascalientes	93:99 ✺
31.08.23	Irapuato Freseros - Panteras de Aguascalientes	90:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Halcones Rojos Veracruz
Mexican LNBP
12.09.23	Irapuato Freseros - Halcones Rojos Veracruz	68:107 ✺
08.09.23	Halcones Rojos Veracruz - Dorados de Chihuahua	54:71 ✺
07.09.23	Halcones Rojos Veracruz - Dorados de Chihuahua	79:76 ✺
02.09.23	Fuerza Regia - Halcones Rojos Veracruz	90:63 ✺
01.09.23	Fuerza Regia - Halcones Rojos Veracruz	79:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
12.09.23	Irapuato Freseros - Halcones Rojos Veracruz	68:107

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