Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Spodek (Katowice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5, Sport 5+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Israel		Slovenia

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.28	Watch
	1.72	2.19
	1.60	2.25	Watch
	1.69	2.28
	2.05	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.27)	2.17 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Israel
55.7%

Slovenia
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Israel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Israel's performance.

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slovenia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Israel than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Israel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovenia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Israel - Slovenia Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Israel will win (votes: 30 - 83.3%). Slovenia will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Israel: 71.1% – 95.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Israel (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Israel (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 175, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Israel will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Israel (votes: 25 - 96.2%). Slovenia (votes: 1 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Avdija D. Portland Trail Blazers	77. Doncic L. (C) Los Angeles Lakers
41. Ginat T. (C) Hapoel Tel-Aviv	15. Hrovat G.
11. Madar Y. Hapoel Tel-Aviv	2. Krampelj M. Yalovaspor BK
9. Sorkin R. Maccabi Tel Aviv	8. Muric E. Forca Lleida
50. Zoosman Y. Hapoel Jerusalem	6. Nikolic A. Cedevita Olimpija
Substitutes
35. Burg E. Bnei Herzliya	13. Jurkovic R. Krka
3. Carrington K. Hapoel Jerusalem	24. Omic A. Buducnost
15. Levi N. Hapoel Jerusalem	4. Padjen M. Ilirija
12. Menco R. Maccabi Tel Aviv	7. Prepelic K. Dubai
99. Palatin G. Hapoel Tel-Aviv	12. Radovic R. Cedevita Olimpija
6. Segev I. Ironi Nes Ziona	23. Scuka L. Braunschweig
10. Timor B. Hapoel Tel-Aviv	37. Stergar L. Kortrijk
Coaches
. Bet Halahmi A.	. Sekulic A.

Preview

Israel is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Slovenia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Slovenia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Israel will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Israel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 401:400. (average 80.2:80).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Israel basketball
EuroBasket
02.09.25	Belgium - Israel	89:92 ✺
31.08.25	Israel - France	82:69 ✺
30.08.25	Poland - Israel	66:64 ✺
28.08.25	Israel - Iceland	83:71 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
17.08.25	Montenegro - Israel	88:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWL
- Slovenia basketball
EuroBasket
02.09.25	Iceland - Slovenia	79:87 ✺
31.08.25	Slovenia - Belgium	86:69 ✺
30.08.25	France - Slovenia	103:95 ✺
28.08.25	Slovenia - Poland	95:105 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Serbia - Slovenia	106:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
24.02.25	Israel - Slovenia	84:74
25.02.24	Slovenia - Israel	88:79
World Championship Basketball
27.02.23	Slovenia - Israel	79:87
11.11.22	Israel - Slovenia	62:75
Friendly International Basketball
18.08.17	Israel - Slovenia	89:84

Israel - Slovenia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide