Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 4

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Spodek (Katowice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza, VRT Canvas
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5, Sport 5+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Belgium		Israel

	1	2
	8	1.09	Watch
	5	1.18	Watch
	7	1.11	Watch
	6.46	1.13
	6.86	1.08	Watch
	5.5	1.12
	6.27	1.15
	2.7	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↑ (2.7)	1.16 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgium
16.3%

Israel
83.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgium's form might have worsened.

Israel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Israel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgium than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgium, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Israel than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Israel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Belgium - Israel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 158.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -11, OT - Israel (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Israel will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Israel will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Israel (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Bako I. Unics Kazan	8. Avdija D. Portland Trail Blazers
4. Lecomte E. Start Lublin	41. Ginat T. Hapoel Tel-Aviv
8. Mwema J. Alicante	9. Sorkin R. Maccabi Tel Aviv
11. Schwartz L. Saint Quentin	10. Timor B. Hapoel Tel-Aviv
10. Vanwijn H. Merkezefendi	50. Zoosman Y. Hapoel Jerusalem
Substitutes
44. Guisse M. Limoges	35. Burg E. Bnei Herzliya
29. Ledegen S. Okapi Aalst	3. Carrington K. Hapoel Jerusalem
36. Mennes J. Oostende	15. Levi N. Hapoel Jerusalem
41. Tshimanga G. Circus Brussels	11. Madar Y. Hapoel Tel-Aviv
16. Tumba K. Antwerp Giants	12. Menco R. Maccabi Tel Aviv
34. Van den Eynde N. Okapi Aalst	99. Palatin G. Hapoel Tel-Aviv
24. Van Vliet A. Gravelines-Dunkerque	6. Segev I. Ironi Nes Ziona
Coaches
. Gjergja D.	. Bet Halahmi A.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Israel is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belgium won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 144:146. (average 72:73).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgium basketball
EuroBasket
31.08.25	Slovenia - Belgium	86:69 ✺
30.08.25	Iceland - Belgium	64:71 ✺
28.08.25	Belgium - France	64:92 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
17.08.25	Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina	60:73 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
15.08.25	Belgium - Great Britain	84:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Israel basketball
EuroBasket
31.08.25	Israel - France	82:69 ✺
30.08.25	Poland - Israel	66:64 ✺
28.08.25	Israel - Iceland	83:71 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
17.08.25	Montenegro - Israel	88:76 ✺
10.08.25	Greece - Israel	58:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
08.09.13	Israel - Belgium	87:67
European Basketball Tour
19.08.13	Belgium - Israel	77:59

Belgium - Israel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide