Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 1

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Spodek (Katowice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Sportklub
Slovenia	Sportklub, Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
World	Court Side 1891


	Slovenia		Poland

	1	2
	1.37	3.2	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.42	2.95	Watch
	1.41	3.03
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.41	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	2.79 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovenia
65.6%

Poland
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poland than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	0%	79.4%

Slovenia - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Slovenia will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Poland will win (votes: 26 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 67.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovenia (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Poland (votes: 17 - 73.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 170, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -8.5, OT - Poland (6.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Poland (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovenia (votes: 6 - 24%). Poland (votes: 19 - 76%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Doncic L. (C) Los Angeles Lakers	2. Balcerowski A. Unicaja
15. Hrovat G.	8. Loyd J. AS Monaco
24. Omic A. Buducnost	0. Pluta A. SK Legia Warszawa
7. Prepelic K. Dubai	9. Ponitka M. (C) Bahcesehir Koleji
12. Radovic R. Cedevita Olimpija	3. Sokolowski M. Sassari
Substitutes
13. Jurkovic R. Krka	11. Dziewa A. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
2. Krampelj M. Yalovaspor BK	12. Gielo T. Bilbao
8. Muric E. Forca Lleida	15. Laczynski K. Anwil Wloclawek
6. Nikolic A. Cedevita Olimpija	23. Michalak M. Anwil Wloclawek
4. Padjen M. Ilirija	17. Olejniczak D. Saint Quentin
23. Scuka L. Braunschweig	10. Zapala S.
37. Stergar L. Kortrijk	28. Zolnierewicz P. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
Coaches
. Sekulic A.	. Milicic I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 4.

Recent form of Slovenia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Poland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Poland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Slovenia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 529:492. (average 88.2:82).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovenia basketball
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Serbia - Slovenia	106:72 ✺
19.08.25	Slovenia - Great Britain	93:81 ✺
16.08.25	Latvia - Slovenia	100:88 ✺
15.08.25	Lithuania - Slovenia	94:72 ✺
10.08.25	Germany - Slovenia	80:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Poland basketball
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Finland - Poland	106:87 ✺
17.08.25	Poland - Finland	88:97 ✺
14.08.25	Poland - Georgia	94:89 ✺
10.08.25	Poland - Sweden	74:72 ✺
03.08.25	Poland - Iceland	92:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
14.09.22	Slovenia - Poland	87:90
Olympic Games - Basketball
01.07.21	Slovenia - Poland	112:77
EuroBasket
31.08.17	Slovenia - Poland	90:81
Friendly International Basketball
13.08.16	Slovenia - Poland	81:76
08.08.15	Slovenia - Poland	98:97 OT (84:84)
EuroBasket
09.09.13	Slovenia - Poland	61:71

Slovenia - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide