Match Info

EuroBasket Women - Round 3

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: PalaDozza (Bologna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports 4
Italy	DAZN Italia, RAI Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Lithuania	TV3, TV3 Play


	Italy W		Lithuania W

	1	2
	1.25	4.2	Watch
	1.3	3.6
			Watch
	1.24	4.26
			Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.25	3.77
	1.42	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.42)	3.69 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy W
74%

Lithuania W
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Italy W's performance.

Lithuania W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lithuania W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy W than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Italy W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lithuania W than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lithuania W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Italy W - Lithuania W Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lithuania will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:64

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cubaj L. Venezia	4. Jocyte J.
0. Keys J. Schio	12. Juskaite L. (C) Zabiny Brno
6. Pasa F. Lyon	21. Miskiniene L. Lublin
8. Verona C. Schio	11. Sinickaite B. Klaipedos Neptunas
9. Zandalasini C. Golden State Valkyries	14. Sventoraite E. Klaipedos Neptunas
Substitutes
22. Andre O. Schio	44. Donskichyte D. Siauliai
19. Fassina M. Venezia	18. Grigalauskyte M. DVTK
14. Madera S. Campobasso	77. Labuckiene G. Kibirkstis Vilnius
11. Pan F. Venezia	17. Meskonyte G. LCC University
18. Santucci M. Venezia	6. Nacickaite K.
23. Spreafico L. (C) San Giovanni	8. Raulusaityte G. LCC University
99. Trimboli S. Campobasso	22. Zabotkaite E. Kibirkstis Vilnius
Coaches
. Capobianco A.	. Stanisauskas V.

Preview

Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Lithuania is Qualified for EuroBasket Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Italy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lithuania has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Italy is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W basketball
EuroBasket Women
19.06.25	Italy W - Slovenia W	77:66 ✺
18.06.25	Serbia W - Italy W	61:70 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
13.06.25	Italy W - Montenegro W	79:41
10.06.25	Czech Republic W - Italy W	48:74 ✺
23.05.25	Belgium W - Italy W	83:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL
- Lithuania W basketball
EuroBasket Women
19.06.25	Lithuania W - Serbia W	74:63 ✺
18.06.25	Slovenia W - Lithuania W	71:77 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
12.06.25	Greece W - Lithuania W	87:59 ✺
11.06.25	Great Britain W - Lithuania W	60:78 ✺
06.06.25	Lithuania W - Sweden W	67:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLWL

Italy W - Lithuania W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide