Match Info

LNB - Play-in - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ekinox (Bourg-en-Bresse)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	JL Bourg-en-Bresse		Strasbourg

	1	2
	1.29	3.3
			Watch
	1.33	3.1
	1.3	3.63
	1.33	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.36	3.28
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)	3.17 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JL Bourg-en-Bresse
70.2%

Strasbourg
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JL Bourg-en-Bresse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JL Bourg-en-Bresse's performance.

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strasbourg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JL Bourg-en-Bresse than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JL Bourg-en-Bresse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strasbourg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

JL Bourg en Bresse - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. JL Bourg-en-Bresse will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Gach B.	44. Brown G.
34. Kokila K. (C)	12. Gregg B.
23. Lindo R.	1. Joseph N.
0. McGhee D.	3. Keene M.
95. Mokoka A.	11. N'Doye A.
Substitutes
12. Agee T.	4. Davis M.
6. Kane K.	7. Labeyrie L.
8. Labanca A.	23. Maille J. (C)
20. Mbaya Y.	98. Merlin E.
9. McDowell-White W.	5. Pfister W.
1. Mitchell T.	21. Trefle J.
3. Moulare A.
Coaches
. Fauthoux F.	. Gailitis J.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JL Bourg-en-Bresse won 2.

JL Bourg-en-Bresse has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Strasbourg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, JL Bourg-en-Bresse is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JL Bourg-en-Bresse won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1520:1491. (average 76:74.6).

Including home matches between the teams, JL Bourg-en-Bresse won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 876:864. (average 79.6:78.5).

Outrights of French LNB for now

JL Bourg: 4.23% Strasbourg: 1.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
5	JL Bourg	2	1	1	193:183	0.500
9	Strasbourg	2	1	1	159:156	0.500

Last Results with these Odds

Strasbourg - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JL Bourg-en-Bresse
French LNB
16.05.26	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Gravelines	95:78 ✺
09.05.26	Dijon - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	101:83 ✺
05.05.26	ASVEL Basket - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	91:77 ✺
03.05.26	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Saint-Quentin	71:89 ✺
Eurocup
28.04.26	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Beşiktaş	73:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW
- Strasbourg IG Basket
French LNB
16.05.26	Strasbourg - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	90:91 OT ✺
09.05.26	ASVEL Basket - Strasbourg	89:81 ✺
03.05.26	Strasbourg - AS Monaco Basket	114:118 OT ✺
28.04.26	Le Portel - Strasbourg	65:102 ✺
18.04.26	Saint-Quentin - Strasbourg	109:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
14.02.26	Strasbourg - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	87:83 OT
10.01.26	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Strasbourg	77:80
17.01.25	Strasbourg - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	70:76
02.11.24	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Strasbourg	89:96
21.04.24	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Strasbourg	77:74
03.10.23	Strasbourg - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	65:83
French Cup Basketball
18.03.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Strasbourg	71:88

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