Match Info

LNB - Round 29

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	ASVEL Basket		Strasbourg

	1	2
	1.32	3.15
	1.33	3.1
	1.33	3.45
	1.33	3.19	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.36	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	3.23 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
70.8%

Strasbourg
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ASVEL Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strasbourg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

ASVEL Basket - Strasbourg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 169.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: ASVEL Basket will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:83

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Angola B.	44. Brown G.
00. Eboua P.	12. Gregg B.
3. Harrison S.	1. Joseph N.
23. Lighty D. (C)	3. Keene M.
10. Massa B.	11. N'Doye A.
Substitutes
8. Ajinca M.	4. Davis M.
2. Atamna A.	7. Labeyrie L.
11. Jackson E.	23. Maille J. (C)
24. Ndiaye M.	32. Traore F.
30. Watson G.	21. Trefle J.

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 3.

ASVEL is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Strasbourg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, ASVEL has had a series of home games.

In this match, ASVEL is the team to beat.

We predict that ASVEL will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1715:1534. (average 85.8:76.7).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 947:787. (average 86.1:71.5).

Outrights of French LNB for now

Lyon-Villeurbanne: 42.01% Strasbourg: 1.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Lyon-Villeurbanne	2	2	0	167:150	1.000
9	Strasbourg	2	1	1	159:156	0.500

Last Results with these Odds

ASVEL Basket - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
French LNB
05.05.26	ASVEL Basket - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	91:77 ✺
01.05.26	ASVEL Basket - Gravelines	88:79 ✺
19.04.26	AS Monaco Basket - ASVEL Basket	83:87 ✺
Euroleague
16.04.26	ASVEL Basket - Fenerbahçe	76:81 ✺
French LNB
12.04.26	ASVEL Basket - Saint-Quentin	86:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Strasbourg IG Basket
French LNB
03.05.26	Strasbourg - AS Monaco Basket	114:118 OT ✺
28.04.26	Le Portel - Strasbourg	65:102 ✺
18.04.26	Saint-Quentin - Strasbourg	109:87 ✺
11.04.26	Strasbourg - Paris	86:92 ✺
03.04.26	Nancy - Strasbourg	82:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
06.12.25	Strasbourg - ASVEL Basket	81:96
French Leaders Cup Basketball
14.02.25	ASVEL Basket - Strasbourg	90:75
French LNB
26.01.25	ASVEL Basket - Strasbourg	95:70
01.12.24	Strasbourg - ASVEL Basket	77:75
30.03.24	Strasbourg - ASVEL Basket	79:78
29.10.23	ASVEL Basket - Strasbourg	91:72
French Cup Basketball
19.03.23	ASVEL Basket - Strasbourg	85:69

Upcoming Matches