Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Jacksonville Dolphins		Austin Peay Governors

	1	2
	3.5	1.29
	3.4	1.28
	3.13	1.32	Watch
	3.55	1.3
	3.38	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.04)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacksonville Dolphins
27.7%

Austin Peay Governors
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacksonville Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Austin Peay Governors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacksonville Dolphins than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacksonville Dolphins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin Peay Governors than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austin Peay Governors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jacksonville Dolphins - Austin Peay Governors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:75

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Preview

Recent form of Jacksonville has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Austin Peay is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Jacksonville has had a series of away games.

In this match, Austin Peay is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Austin Peay will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jacksonville won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 259:214. (average 64.8:53.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jacksonville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 131:87. (average 65.5:43.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacksonville Dolphins basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Florida Gulf Coast Eagles - Jacksonville Dolphins	86:84 ✺
14.02.26	Jacksonville Dolphins - North Florida Ospreys	63:56 ✺
11.02.26	Stetson Mad Hatters - Jacksonville Dolphins	67:62 ✺
07.02.26	West Georgia Wolves - Jacksonville Dolphins	87:73 ✺
05.02.26	Queens Royals - Jacksonville Dolphins	93:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Austin Peay Governors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.02.26	North Florida Ospreys - Austin Peay Governors	76:77 ✺
14.02.26	Austin Peay Governors - Bellarmine Knights	90:70 ✺
11.02.26	Queens Royals - Austin Peay Governors	87:95 ✺
07.02.26	Austin Peay Governors - North Alabama Lions	91:62 ✺
04.02.26	Austin Peay Governors - Lipscomb Bisons	87:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Austin Peay Governors - Jacksonville Dolphins	71:68
04.01.25	Jacksonville Dolphins - Austin Peay Governors	68:44
31.01.24	Jacksonville Dolphins - Austin Peay Governors	63:43
16.02.23	Austin Peay Governors - Jacksonville Dolphins	56:60

Jacksonville Dolphins - Austin Peay Governors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide