Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	James Madison Dukes		South Alabama Jaguars

	1	2
	1.49	2.7
	1.47	2.55
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.51	2.61
	1.47	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)	2.61 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Madison Dukes
63.6%

South Alabama Jaguars
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Madison Dukes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Madison Dukes's performance.

South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Alabama Jaguars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Madison Dukes than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

James Madison Dukes - South Alabama Jaguars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:68

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Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

James Madison will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, James Madison won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 266:270. (average 66.5:67.5).

Including home matches between the teams, James Madison won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 155:130. (average 77.5:65).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Madison Dukes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Marshall Thundering Herd - James Madison Dukes	77:72 ✺
15.01.26	Appalachian State Mountaineers - James Madison Dukes	80:65 ✺
10.01.26	James Madison Dukes - Old Dominion Monarchs	70:69 ✺
07.01.26	James Madison Dukes - Marshall Thundering Herd	64:66 ✺
03.01.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - James Madison Dukes	74:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW
- South Alabama Jaguars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	56:59 ✺
15.01.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	91:87 OT ✺
10.01.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Georgia Southern Eagles	87:71 ✺
03.01.26	Troy Trojans - South Alabama Jaguars	59:49 ✺
31.12.25	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - South Alabama Jaguars	58:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
21.12.24	South Alabama Jaguars - James Madison Dukes	77:49
11.01.24	James Madison Dukes - South Alabama Jaguars	89:55
05.03.23	James Madison Dukes - South Alabama Jaguars	66:75
12.01.23	South Alabama Jaguars - James Madison Dukes	63:62

James Madison Dukes - South Alabama Jaguars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide